A "Self-Adaptive System" is
quite simply one that has the internal ability to dynamically alter
its analytical equations in real time to more closely adapt the system
to ever changing market conditions. The systems accomplish this task
by the diligent application of parallel functions.
What makes Parallel User Function driven systems unique?
Recall the old college days, just after that chemistry exam when you
realized you should have spent more time reviewing the section on oxidation
and reduction and less time on electron shell configuration? Or after
the English exam when you found the test emphasis on sentence construction
rather than proper pronoun usage, which you had spent all night studying?
How about that last trade, when just waiting a few more minutes for
your entry or exit would have turned the result into a profitable experience
rather than another one of those annoying losses?
Obviously, it’s not possible to turn the clock back and alter
previous decisions. However, we have all, hopefully, over the years,
learned from our previous experiences and have become better traders
as the result of this learning process.
Parallel Function Technology operates in much the same fashion as our
own learning process. While there is no computer in existence, or even
on the horizon, which can come close to the analytical capability of
the human mind, we can, with our Parallel Function Technology, enable
our trading systems to learn from their past experiences and become
more effective as a result.
The ultimate objective of all trading is to buy the low and sell the
high. As you know this is much easier said that done. In fact it is,
in all likelihood, altogether impossible. It is possible however to
buy and sell in areas where price action determines that the trade has
a higher probability of being profitable rather than losing.
In this attempt, our Parallel Function based systems are always trying
to identify optimum buy and sell areas. If the identification of this
buy and sell area can be improved upon, the system recognizes this fact
and will “self-adapt” to take this new understanding into
account the next time a similar market situation arises.
For example, let’s consider a trade placed by the Symphony System.
A set of specific mathematical equation is used to calculate all trading
signals.
Obviously, all the signals from this system are not perfect. In many
instances, moving the entry point forward or back a few bars would improve
the quality of the signal issued by this trading tool.
Using historical data, we can easily determine the top or the bottom
of the price move where the placement of our buy or sell signal would
have been optimally placed.
The system component of our Parallel Function programming examines the
relationship of all the orders placed over a given period of time and
compares the placement of the signals to what would have been the perfect
placement of each order. The computer program then makes alterations
to the base system equation in an attempt to more accurately place the
proper buy and sell signals as they are issued by the system when similar
chart patterns present themselves in the future.
One might ask, at this point, with the self-adaptive nature of this
system discussed above, why all the signals aren’t always perfect
after the examination of an adequate amount of past data. The best answer
to this question requires a more detailed examination of the forces
that are responsible for the creation a price chart.
Price charts are ultimately the expression of random human behavior
in the market place. Much of this random activity is largely the result
of analytical inputs, such as supply and demand, earnings and other
hard numbers which are objective in nature and can be analyzed mathematically.
The balance of the origin of market behavior is the result of human
emotion, intuition and other non-analytical data and therefore much
less repetitive and much more difficult to analyze from an objective
approach.
It is relatively simple to analyze, from a mathematical perspective,
activity which arises from the repetitive activity generated by hard
data.
It is quite difficult, if not impossible, to objectively analyze and
therefore predict the subjective result of emotion and intuition.
Ultimately, therefore, it is mathematically possible to only predict
a portion of the activity which goes into the creation of a price chart.
In a sense, you are always shooting at a moving target from a mathematical
standpoint, thus markedly decreasing the accuracy of perfect market
prediction.
However, with all of the above qualifications, the Parallel Function
Technology which drives all of the Systems offered on this site has
been shown by our research to be much more responsive to the ever changing
conditions of today’s active markets than the standard indicator
packages which use fixed mathematical processes to calculate their respective
buy and sell signals.